According to the 2023 USDA Hardiness Zone map, all of New York City falls within Zone 7B. NYC’s climate, now classified as humid subtropical, is changing rapidly. While large-scale design changes may not yet be feasible, the need for monitoring and adaptation is clear. Refer to the NYC Climate Resiliency Design Guidelines. Additionally, the site-specific environmental conditions such as sun exposure, wind patterns, and precipitation will ultimately create a unique growing environment for plants. This microclimate must be understood in order to select the most appropriate plants.
Recent trends of more extreme temperature and weather due to climate change will also impact plant selection. These trends will have a varied effect depending on the particular microclimate. For example, coastal and low-lying areas have experienced intensified and more frequent flooding due to more frequent storms over the last several years, which may require hardier drought and flood tolerant plants be specified. Additional considerations include:
Sea Level Rise: Rising sea levels will increase the extent, frequency, and severity of flooding, impacting both current and future landscapes. Areas not currently subject to saltwater flooding can be expected to become so, and areas currently flooding will be affected more severely. Existing wetlands may become partially submerged, and areas currently above and beyond the intertidal boundary may transition to tidal wetlands.
Rising Temperatures: Higher temperatures will alter the suitability of native plants, planting seasons, bud and bloom times, pest resistance, and growth cycles.
Rainfall Patterns: Intense rainfall events paired with drought conditions will require plantings resilient to both extremes. New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC) projections show a likelihood of increased incidence of intense rainfall with decreased “regular” rainfall. The combination of less snowfall and snowmelt and droughts with higher future temperatures also has implications.